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You might be my sixth cousin
I'm a bit behind on my Guardian Science Weekly Podcasts, but I learned this evening that you might well be my sixth cousin (according to Steve Jones). Yes, you - If you're British that is (I'm probably not so closely related to you otherwise). Fascinating stuff.
Incest means having sex with a relative - and we all indulge in it, whether we realise or not. On average, two randomly chosen British people are sixth cousins, which means that they share an ancestor who lived in the year of publication of The Origin of Species (1859).
Update: this can't be correct, surely. Sixth cousins share their great-great-great-great-great grandparents, and I have 128 of those. In order for it to be likely that you are my sixth cousin, these 128 together must have around 60 million descendants. But this means that at each generation there must have been around seven children born, every one of whom would then go on to have another seven children, and so on. But that's surely absurd, since the UK population in 1851 was around 20 million, so there hasn't really been a huge amount of growth. Assuming two fertile children per generation, the probability that you are my sixth cousin is around one in 7000. Assuming four fertile children, it's around one in 60.
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I live in York and I
about 2 years ago
No no, you've missed a trick. This isn't a statement about the British population at large, but rather about the sexual mores at the Guardian.
about 2 years ago
Surely this assumes no subsequent inbreeding among those descendants?
I could be wrong, but requiring that "these 128 together must have around 60 million descendants" seems ludicrous: you're asking that the entire current UK population is descended from those 128 people! That fallacy is why the numbers fail, and I suspect a more in-depth calculation taking into account could allow you to get the sixth-cousin relationship that (presumably) is actually observed when you do some random DNA sampling.
about 2 years ago
How do you measure a sixth-cousin relationship using DNA sampling?
about 2 years ago
No idea about the practical details, but that's what Jones says in this article here: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/steve-jones/3685402/View-from-the-lab-Incest.html
about 2 years ago
Hi Liam,
Thanks for that. He says "Every Briton of European descent is, roughly speaking, a sixth cousin to all others, and their joint predecessor was alive when Darwin was a young man." I wonder if he (or someone!) substantiates that somewhere?
Anthony